This is a huge match at the bottom of the table, and it will be fascinating to see what develops this weekend. It would have been easy to pick another draw here, but we just have a feeling that Celta will be able to navigate their way to what would be a huge three points in front of their own supporters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.
-0.06) 
0.03) 
