Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Valencia |
28.01% ( 0.53) | 26.93% ( 0.15) | 45.05% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 48.49% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.77% ( -0.25) | 56.23% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.72% ( -0.21) | 77.27% ( 0.21) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.53% ( 0.29) | 35.46% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.77% ( 0.3) | 72.23% ( -0.3) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.14% ( -0.44) | 24.86% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.53% ( -0.62) | 59.46% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 28.01% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |