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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Almeria

Cadiz
1 - 1
Almeria

Hernandez (59')
Fede (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandes (90+5')
Puigmal (9'), Moreno (10'), Gonzalez (27'), Suarez Charris (72'), Ramazani (90')
Gonzalez (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Cadiz
Sunday, August 20 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 19 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 2-1 Almeria

Both matches between the two sides last season finished 1-1, and we were close to going for that scoreline once again here. Cadiz have shown promising signs in the early stages of the new campaign, though, and we are backing the home side to navigate their way to all three points in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawAlmeria
39.68% (0.443 0.44) 27.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 33.31% (-0.396 -0.4)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (0.108 0.11)54.7% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (0.09 0.09)76.02% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (0.297 0.3)26.97% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69% (0.386 0.39)62.31% (-0.382 -0.38)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)30.82% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-0.243 -0.24)67.09% (0.246 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 39.68%
    Almeria 33.31%
    Draw 27.01%
CadizDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 39.68%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 9.78% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.31%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Almeria

Cadiz
74.0%
Draw
20.0%
Almeria
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 26
Almeria
1-1
Cadiz
Melero (90+7' pen.)
Marti (49')
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Gameweek 15
Cadiz
1-1
Almeria
Perez (83')
Melero (40')
Feb 29, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 30
Cadiz
2-1
Almeria
Maras (16' og.), Alex (60')
Fali (37'), Perea (76')
Corpas (10')
Jonathan (77'), Costas (84')
Sep 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Almeria
1-2
Cadiz
Corpas (77' pen.)
Maras (36'), Martos (94')
Lozano (69'), Espino (90')
Mari (26'), Lozano (71'), Alberto (94')
Mauro (76')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Almeria
0-0
Cadiz
Brice Eteki (17'), Carlos (21'), Martos (31'), Saveljich (90')
Ramos (35'), Lekic (42'), Mari (60')
Mari (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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