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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Valencia logo

Sevilla
1 - 2
Valencia

En-Nesyri (69')
Rakitic (14'), Gudelj (45'), Acuna (90+7')
Bade (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diakhaby (60'), Guerra (88')
Diakhaby (10'), Ozkacar (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, August 6 at 3am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Valencia

Two of the last three league meetings between these two sides have finished level, while Sevilla are unbeaten against Valencia in Spain's top light since March 2019. We came close to backing a draw here, but Sevilla should be winning this type of match at Estadio Ramon considering their quality, so a home success is being predicted. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawValencia
38.77% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 27.95% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 33.29% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.69% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)58.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (0.013999999999999 0.01)78.89% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.19% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (0.033000000000001 0.03)65.13% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.65% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)69.19% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 38.76%
    Valencia 33.28%
    Draw 27.94%
SevillaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.73%
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 10.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.28%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Valencia

Sevilla
85.1%
Draw
10.3%
Valencia
4.6%
87
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Valencia
0-2
Sevilla
Bade (55'), Suso (75')
Oct 18, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Sevilla
1-1
Valencia
Lamela (86')
Cavani (6')
Jan 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 21
Valencia
1-1
Sevilla
Guedes (44')
Gaya (45+2'), Lato (86')
Gaya (89')
Diakhaby (7' og.)
Acuna (45+2'), Montiel (45+4'), Torres (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 6
Sevilla
3-1
Valencia
Papu (3'), Lato (15' og.), Mir (22')
Lamela (17'), Montiel (30'), Mir (35'), Jordan (51'), Gudelj (82')
Duro (31')
Lato (17'), Alderete (17'), Diakhaby (68')
May 12, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 36
Sevilla
1-0
Valencia
En-Nesyri (66')
Escudero (7'), Gudelj (37')

Soler (80'), Paulista (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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