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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Las Palmas

Valencia
1 - 0
Las Palmas

Pepelu (74' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, August 12 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-1 Las Palmas

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and both sides will certainly believe that they can hurt the other in the final third of the field. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we have a feeling that Valencia will edge a close match in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawLas Palmas
32.5% (-0.921 -0.92) 27.49% (-0.299 -0.3) 40.01% (1.221 1.22)
Both teams to score 48.85% (0.673 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.28% (0.946 0.95)56.72% (-0.946 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.33% (0.756 0.76)77.67% (-0.755 -0.75)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)32.39% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09% (-0.163 -0.16)68.91% (0.164 0.16)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (1.149 1.15)27.73% (-1.149 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (1.449 1.45)63.3% (-1.449 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 32.49%
    Las Palmas 40.01%
    Draw 27.48%
ValenciaDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.257 -0.26)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.49%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 11.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.33% (0.199 0.2)
0-2 @ 7.39% (0.205 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.195 0.2)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.184 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.103 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.01%

How you voted: Valencia vs Las Palmas

Valencia
82.3%
Draw
6.5%
Las Palmas
11.3%
62
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2018 7.45pm
Las Palmas
2-1
Valencia
Viera (20'), Calleri (53' pen.)
Samperio (73'), Halilovic (76')
Mina (5')
Lato (21'), Vezo (26'), Paulista (52'), Montoya (62'), Zaza (70'), Neto (72'), Coquelin (90')
Paulista (52'), Vezo (87')
Jan 9, 2018 8.30pm
Fifth Round
Valencia
4-0
Las Palmas
Vietto (30', 48', 66'), Maksimovic (54')
Latorre (81')

Garcia (90')
Jan 3, 2018 8pm
Fifth Round
Las Palmas
1-1
Valencia
Calleri (36')
Galvez (62'), Navarro (78'), Calleri (90')
Rodrigo (85')
Zaza (76')
Aug 18, 2017 9pm
Valencia
1-0
Las Palmas
Zaza (22')
Zaza (9'), Parejo (40'), Gaya (71')

Navarro (47'), Bigas (67'), Simon (80')
Halilovic (33')
Jan 30, 2017 7.45pm
Las Palmas
3-1
Valencia
Viera (42'), Lemos (58'), Boateng (61')
Mesa (82')
Mina (21')
Nani (27'), Perez (44'), El-Haddadi (48'), Parejo (64')
El-Haddadi (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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