Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente1 - 2AZ
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Famalicao
Monday, August 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, August 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Vizela | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Last Game: AZ 4-0 Gil Vicente
Thursday, August 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | FC Twente | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 3 | 4 | 5 |
We said: Gil Vicente 2-3 AZ Alkmaar (AZ Alkmaar win 7-2 on aggregate)
Even if they opt to make rotations on Thursday, AZ Alkmaar have shown they have more quality than their playoff opponents, and we see them doing enough to win again on the night with the chance to break on a Gil Vicente side who will go all out for goals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
42.01% ( 0.11) | 25.17% ( -0.08) | 32.82% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.37% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
