Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
AZ4 - 0Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sparta 2-3 AZ
Sunday, August 14 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, August 14 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | FC Twente | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Feyenoord | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Gil Vicente
Monday, August 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, August 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Chaves | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Vizela | 2 | 0 | 3 |
We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente put up an eye-catching display in their home leg against Dundee United, and they certainly have the potential to challenge their hosts, but we see Thursday's trip being a step too far and back the Dutch outfit to take a healthy lead to Portugal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 19.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Gil Vicente |
58.27% ( 0.25) | 22.16% ( -0.01) | 19.57% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
