MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 09:16:37| >> :600:11470041:11470041:
Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional
0 - 3
Nacional


Ocampo (22'), Ramirez (66'), Mosquera (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernando Alfaro (24'), Arevalo (72'), Velazco (90+2' pen.)
Caballero (45+4')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Atletico Nacional and Club Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Atletico NacionalDrawClub Nacional
52.74% (-0.338 -0.34) 25.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 22.11% (0.374 0.37)
Both teams to score 48.22% (0.563 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.12% (0.502 0.5)53.87% (-0.503 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.66% (0.42 0.42)75.33% (-0.42 -0.42)
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.061999999999998 0.06)20.43% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (0.097000000000001 0.1)52.87% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.6% (0.659 0.66)39.4% (-0.661 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.9% (0.609 0.61)76.09% (-0.60900000000001 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Nacional 52.73%
    Club Nacional 22.11%
    Draw 25.15%
Atletico NacionalDrawClub Nacional
1-0 @ 12.78% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 52.73%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 8.05% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 22.11%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2024 12.30am
Second Round 1st Leg
Nacional
1-0
Atletico Nacional
Duarte (49')
Orzusa (45'), Blasi (51'), Ojeda (79')

Castro (49'), Duque (87'), Mejia (90')
Castro (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!