Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atletico Nacional0 - 3Nacional
Ocampo (22'), Ramirez (66'), Mosquera (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernando Alfaro (24'), Arevalo (72'), Velazco (90+2' pen.)
Caballero (45+4')
Caballero (45+4')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Atletico Nacional and Club Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Nacional | Draw | Club Nacional |
52.74% ( -0.34) | 25.15% ( -0.04) | 22.11% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 48.22% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.12% ( 0.5) | 53.87% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.66% ( 0.42) | 75.33% ( -0.42) |
Atletico Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.57% ( 0.06) | 20.43% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.13% ( 0.1) | 52.87% ( -0.1) |
Club Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.6% ( 0.66) | 39.4% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.9% ( 0.61) | 76.09% ( -0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Nacional 52.73%
Club Nacional 22.11%
Draw 25.15%
Atletico Nacional | Draw | Club Nacional |
1-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.41% Total : 22.11% |
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2024 12.30am
Second Round 1st Leg
Nacional
1-0
Atletico Nacional
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-12 08:58:27
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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