Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Nacional1 - 0Atletico Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Club Nacional and Atletico Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 3-0 Atletico Nacional
Friday, August 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, August 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Nacional in this match.
Result | ||
Club Nacional | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
43.73% ( -0.39) | 27.18% ( 0.35) | 29.08% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.39% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.34% ( -1.28) | 56.66% ( 1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.37% ( -1.04) | 77.62% ( 1.04) |
Club Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.27% ( -0.77) | 25.72% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.35% ( -1.06) | 60.64% ( 1.06) |
Atletico Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.14% ( -0.65) | 34.85% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.41% ( -0.69) | 71.59% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Club Nacional 43.73%
Atletico Nacional 29.08%
Draw 27.18%
Club Nacional | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.73% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.15% Total : 29.08% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-11 02:30:41
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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