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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Bayern logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 2
Bayern

Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Stuttgart
Sunday, December 17 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 0-2 Bayern Munich

 With just two goals from four December fixtures so far - and a terrible record versus Bayern in the Bundesliga - Wolfsburg are set to end 2023 on a down note. The German champions may be short of their brilliant best right now, but they clearly possess sufficient firepower to take care of business at the Volkswagen Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-3 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
15.27% (-0.344 -0.34) 17.88% (-0.026 -0.03) 66.84% (0.36999999999999 0.37)
Both teams to score 60.01% (-0.812 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.71% (-0.633 -0.63)32.28% (0.633 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.1% (-0.74 -0.74)53.9% (0.74 0.74)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.82899999999999 -0.83)34.07% (0.829 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-0.904 -0.9)70.76% (0.905 0.91)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.03% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09)8.96% (0.0871 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.42% (-0.209 -0.21)30.57% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 15.27%
    Bayern Munich 66.84%
    Draw 17.88%
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.27% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 3.29% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 1.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 15.27%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.88%
1-2 @ 9.56% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.231 0.23)
1-3 @ 7.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.22 0.22)
0-3 @ 7.15% (0.158 0.16)
1-4 @ 4.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 4.31% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-4 @ 2.5% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-5 @ 2.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.08% (0.029 0.03)
2-5 @ 1.21% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 5.08%
Total : 66.84%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Bayern

Wolfsburg
19.2%
Draw
6.8%
Bayern Munich
74.0%
73
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
4-0
Wolfsburg
Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Weghorst (35'), Philipp (54')
Otavio (57'), Mbabu (86')
Musiala (15', 37'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (24')
Hernandez (79')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Stuttgart33224774393570
3Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Freiburg33119134456-1242
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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