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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Stuttgart |
61.69% ( -1.26) | 19.94% ( 0.16) | 18.37% ( 1.1) |
Both teams to score 59.28% ( 1.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.64% ( 1.19) | 36.36% ( -1.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.51% ( 1.29) | 58.49% ( -1.29) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.63% ( 0.02) | 11.37% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.91% ( 0.04) | 36.09% ( -0.04) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.89% ( 1.92) | 33.11% ( -1.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.29% ( 2.07) | 69.71% ( -2.07) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.52) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.6% Total : 61.69% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.94% | 1-2 @ 5% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.07% Total : 18.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |