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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Heidenheim

Bayern
4 - 2
Heidenheim

Kane (14', 44'), Guerreiro (72'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (85')
Mazraoui (3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kleindienst (67'), Beste (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 2-1 Galatasaray
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Bayern Munich 4-1 Heidenheim

Heidenheim have already frustrated Dortmund away from home this term, but they have since struggled in recent games on the road, losing each of their last four and conceding 11 goals in the process, and they head into Saturday's clash as major underdogs. Bayern, meanwhile, are enjoying an impressive run of form in the Bundesliga, largely thanks to the efforts of Kane in the final third, and we believe that the Bavarians will have few problems securing a comfortable win at the Allianz Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 7.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHeidenheim
81.66% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1) 11.29% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 7.04% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.01% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)22.99% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.76% (-0.315 -0.31)42.24% (0.319 0.32)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.8% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)4.2% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.48% (-0.179 -0.18)17.51% (0.183 0.18)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.8% (-0.111 -0.11)41.2% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.27% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)77.73% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 81.66%
    Heidenheim 7.04%
    Draw 11.29%
Bayern MunichDrawHeidenheim
3-0 @ 9.19% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 8.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 6.46% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.49% (0.067 0.07)
5-0 @ 4.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 4.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-1 @ 2.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.11% (-0.015 -0.02)
7-1 @ 0.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
6-2 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 81.66%
1-1 @ 4.86% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 1.73% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 11.29%
1-2 @ 2.16% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.53% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 7.04%

How you voted: Bayern vs Heidenheim

Bayern Munich
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Heidenheim
8.3%
36
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2019 5.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
5-4
Heidenheim
Goretzka (12'), Muller (53'), Lewandowski (55', 84' pen.), Gnabry (65')
Lewandowski (86')
Sule (15')
Glatzel (26', 74', 77'), Schnatterer (39')
Dorsch (40'), Griesbeck (90'), Beermann (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Stuttgart33224774393570
3Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Freiburg33119134456-1242
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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