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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
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SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
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Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Stuttgart
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Fuhrich (61'), Undav (73')
Rouault (21'), Fuhrich (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Promel (4'), Weghorst (21' pen.), Skov (66')
Akpoguma (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim

Both teams' firepower will almost certainly be blunted by missing their star strikers through injury, with Stuttgart likely to feel the absence of Guirassy in particular given his superb start to the season. Their winning run surely has to come to an end sooner rather than later, and we believe that Hoffenheim have enough about them to avoid defeat on Saturday, with both managers set to be desperate to get one over on their former clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawHoffenheim
47.7% (-0.201 -0.2) 22.22% (-0.02 -0.02) 30.08% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 65.63% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.6% (0.22199999999999 0.22)34.4% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.251 0.25)56.31% (-0.255 -0.25)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)14.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)43.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.238 0.24)22.85% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.353 0.35)56.58% (-0.358 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 47.7%
    Hoffenheim 30.08%
    Draw 22.22%
StuttgartDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.26% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim

Stuttgart
74.5%
Draw
23.5%
Hoffenheim
2.0%
51
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Stuttgart
1-1
Hoffenheim
Tomas (80')
Bebou (75')
Jan 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Hoffenheim
2-2
Stuttgart
Kramaric (11', 90+4')
Guirassy (45+5'), Endo (77')
Feb 25, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hoffenheim
2-1
Stuttgart
Baumgartner (85', 90')
Geiger (16'), Baumgartner (33'), Hubner (45+4')
Endo (58')
Anton (81'), Forster (90+5')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Stuttgart
3-1
Hoffenheim
Kempf (18'), Mavropanos (60'), Massimo (81')
Mar 14, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 25
Stuttgart
2-0
Hoffenheim
Adams (15' og.), Kalajdzic (64')

Sessegnon (11'), Grillitsch (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Stuttgart33224774393570
3Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Freiburg33119134456-1242
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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