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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Freiburg |
47.61% ( -0.08) | 23.96% ( 0.01) | 28.43% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 58.18% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.29% ( -0.01) | 43.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.9% ( -0.01) | 66.1% ( 0.01) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.49% ( -0.03) | 18.51% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.27% ( -0.06) | 49.73% ( 0.06) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.4% ( 0.04) | 28.6% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.6% ( 0.05) | 64.4% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 47.61% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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