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Morocco national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 7pm UK
 
Guinea national football team

Morocco
3 - 0
Guinea

Mmaee (21' pen., 29'), El Kaabi (60')
Masina (68'), Barkok (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Diawara (26'), Camara (49'), Conte (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Morocco and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 23.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
MoroccoDrawGuinea
51.47%24.89%23.64%
Both teams to score 50.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57%51.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76%73.24%
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02%19.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85%52.15%
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.43%36.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.64%73.36%
Score Analysis
    Morocco 51.46%
    Guinea 23.64%
    Draw 24.89%
MoroccoDrawGuinea
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 9.48%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 5.09%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 51.46%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.35%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.7%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 23.64%

How you voted: Morocco vs Guinea

Morocco
81.0%
Draw
14.3%
Guinea
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2021 8pm
Second Round
Guinea
1-4
Morocco
Kane (31')
Kamano (40'), Keita (45+1'), Sylla (59'), Sylla (69')
El Kaabi (21'), Amallah (43', 65'), Boufal (89')
Chakla (55')
Nov 19, 2019 6pm
International Friendlies
Morocco
3-1
Guinea
El Kaabi (7' pen.), Ahadad (11'), Nanah (47')
Camara (20' pen.)
Millimono (28'), Mouste (45')
Jan 17, 2018 4.30pm
Group Stage
Morocco
3-1
Guinea
El Kaabi (27', 64', 68')
El Karti (58')
Bissiri Camara (28')
Bangoura (8')
rhs 2.0
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