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Nacional
Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
6 - 1
Mirandela

Esteves (12'), Gustavo (19', 42'), Dudu (48', 52'), Raimar (90')
Vitor Leal Sousa Lima (45+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Pola (77' og.)
Cruz (27'), Machado (64')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Nacional and Mirandela.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Nacional
Thursday, September 28 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Mirandela

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Mirandela had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Mirandela win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawMirandela
51.65% (0.047000000000004 0.05) 24.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.61% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)47.96% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.035 -0.04)70.13% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (0.0049999999999955 0)18.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)49.81% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Mirandela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)34.18% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)70.87% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 51.65%
    Mirandela 24.18%
    Draw 24.16%
NacionalDrawMirandela
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.65%
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 6.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 24.18%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Nacional
rhs 2.0
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