Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Benevento |
48.32% | 23.13% | 28.54% |
Both teams to score 61.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.17% | 39.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.81% | 62.19% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.26% | 16.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.33% | 46.66% |
Benevento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.45% | 26.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.24% | 61.76% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Benevento |
2-1 @ 9.42% 1-0 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 4.25% Total : 48.33% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.45% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-1 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |