Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
63.39% | 20.14% | 16.47% |
Both teams to score 54.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.26% | 40.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.87% | 63.12% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.77% | 12.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.08% | 37.92% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.08% | 37.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.31% | 74.69% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.66% Total : 63.38% | 1-1 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 4.82% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.14% | 1-2 @ 4.58% 0-1 @ 4.5% 0-2 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.56% 1-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.18% Total : 16.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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