Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.06%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 26.29% and a draw has a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.52%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.37%).
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
53.06% ( -0.2) | 20.64% ( 0.08) | 26.29% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 68.47% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.57% ( -0.26) | 29.43% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.5% ( -0.32) | 50.5% ( 0.31) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.49% ( -0.14) | 11.51% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.6% ( -0.31) | 36.39% ( 0.31) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% ( -0.06) | 22.62% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.76% ( -0.09) | 56.24% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.06% | 1-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.72% 0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.64% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 26.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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