Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 54.03%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
54.03% ( 0.03) | 22.84% ( -0.01) | 23.12% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.69% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.72% ( 0.01) | 43.27% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.33% ( 0.01) | 65.67% ( -0.02) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.04% ( 0.01) | 15.96% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.75% ( 0.03) | 45.25% ( -0.03) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.45% ( -0.01) | 32.54% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.92% ( -0.01) | 69.08% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 54.03% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 23.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |