Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for an Annan Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Annan Athletic |
57.35% ( 0.16) | 22.51% ( 0.07) | 20.14% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.55% ( -0.6) | 45.45% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.21% ( -0.58) | 67.79% ( 0.59) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.4% ( -0.15) | 15.6% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.42% ( -0.29) | 44.58% ( 0.29) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.39% ( -0.58) | 36.61% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.61% ( -0.59) | 73.39% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Annan Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 57.35% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.51% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |