Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
33.58% ( 0.11) | 25.98% ( -0.01) | 40.44% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.57% ( 0.08) | 50.43% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.64% ( 0.07) | 72.36% ( -0.07) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.48% ( 0.11) | 28.52% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.7% ( 0.13) | 64.3% ( -0.14) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.4% ( -0.01) | 24.6% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% ( -0.02) | 59.1% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.58% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |