Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
38.06% ( 2.75) | 26.17% ( 0.04) | 35.77% ( -2.79) |
Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.06% ( -0.15) | 50.94% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.18% ( -0.13) | 72.81% ( 0.13) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.88% ( 1.52) | 26.11% ( -1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.82% ( 1.99) | 61.18% ( -1.99) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.56% ( -1.66) | 27.43% ( 1.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.08% ( -2.2) | 62.92% ( 2.2) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |