Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians |
33.69% ( 0.06) | 25.93% ( -0.03) | 40.38% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.08% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.81% ( 0.13) | 50.19% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.85% ( 0.12) | 72.15% ( -0.12) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.66% ( 0.1) | 28.34% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.93% ( 0.13) | 64.07% ( -0.13) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.47% ( 0.04) | 24.53% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41% ( 0.06) | 59% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.69% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 72 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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