Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 87.2%. A draw has a probability of 8.4% and a win for Chaves has a probability of 4.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 3-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 4-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (3.65%), while for a Chaves win it is 1-2 (1.41%).
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
87.2% ( 1.98) | 8.4% ( -1.14) | 4.4% ( -0.84) |
Both teams to score 52.28% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
80.48% ( 2.15) | 19.52% ( -2.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
62.6% ( 3.03) | 37.4% ( -3.03) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.11% ( 0.59) | 2.89% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.87% ( 2.04) | 13.13% ( -2.03) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.83% ( -0.93) | 46.17% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.15% ( -0.73) | 81.85% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
3-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.5) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.57) 5-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.61) 5-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.56) 6-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.54) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.17) 6-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.35) 4-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.36) 5-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.09) 7-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.24) 6-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.11) Other @ 5.17% Total : 87.2% | 1-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.54) 2-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.91% Total : 8.4% | 1-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.22) Other @ 1.96% Total : 4.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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