Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Chaves has a probability of 25.94% and a draw has a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Chaves win is 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.88%).
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Famalicao |
25.94% ( 2.5) | 24.99% ( 1.08) | 49.07% ( -3.58) |
Both teams to score 52.75% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.08% ( -2.31) | 49.92% ( 2.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.09% ( -2.1) | 71.91% ( 2.1) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.24% ( 0.89) | 33.76% ( -0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.58% ( 0.95) | 70.42% ( -0.95) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% ( -2.32) | 20.37% ( 2.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.22% ( -3.83) | 52.77% ( 3.84) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.84) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.94% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.46) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.53) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.61) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.38) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.4) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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