Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
33.96% | 25.18% | 40.86% |
Both teams to score 56.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% | 46.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% | 69.13% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.43% | 26.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.21% | 61.79% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.19% | 22.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.47% | 56.53% |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 8.04% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.96% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 4.32% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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