Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Rio Ave |
28.59% | 26.92% | 44.49% |
Both teams to score 48.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.1% | 55.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% | 77.01% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.16% | 34.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.43% | 71.57% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% | 25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.35% | 59.65% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 6.71% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.15% Total : 28.59% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 12.07% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 8.37% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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