Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 10.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.39%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
70.12% | 19.4% | 10.47% |
Both teams to score 40.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.1% | 50.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.22% | 72.78% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.64% | 13.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.75% | 40.25% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.46% | 53.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.01% | 86.99% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
2-0 @ 14.49% 1-0 @ 14.39% 3-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 9.05% 3-1 @ 6.08% 4-0 @ 4.89% 4-1 @ 3.06% 5-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.38% Total : 70.11% | 1-1 @ 9% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 2.83% Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.4% | 0-1 @ 4.47% 1-2 @ 2.81% 0-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.8% Total : 10.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |