Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 6.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.88%) and 0-1 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Benfica |
6.48% | 13.54% | 79.97% |
Both teams to score 41.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.76% | 38.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.47% | 60.53% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.29% | 54.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.29% | 87.7% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.46% | 7.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.97% | 27.03% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 2.49% 2-1 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.06% Total : 6.48% | 1-1 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.12% 2-2 @ 2.51% Other @ 0.48% Total : 13.54% | 0-2 @ 13.78% 0-3 @ 11.88% 0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-4 @ 7.68% 1-3 @ 7.17% 1-4 @ 4.63% 0-5 @ 3.97% 1-5 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-6 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.4% 1-6 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.19% Total : 79.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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