Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Fulham |
40.01% ( 0.63) | 23.86% ( 0.02) | 36.12% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.7% ( -0.18) | 40.3% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.33% ( -0.19) | 62.67% ( 0.18) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.62% ( 0.22) | 20.38% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.2% ( 0.34) | 52.79% ( -0.34) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% ( -0.42) | 22.29% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.24% ( -0.63) | 55.75% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Fulham |
2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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