Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Nacional |
38.68% | 27.29% | 34.03% |
Both teams to score 49.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.34% | 55.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.19% | 76.81% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% | 27.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.38% | 63.62% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.17% | 30.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.9% | 67.1% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.67% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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