Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes has a probability of 32.53% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.43%).
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
42.96% ( 0.63) | 24.51% ( -0.03) | 32.53% ( -0.6) |
Both teams to score 58.56% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% ( -0.05) | 44.21% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.41% ( -0.05) | 66.59% ( 0.05) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.31% ( 0.27) | 20.69% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.71% ( 0.41) | 53.28% ( -0.42) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.84% ( -0.39) | 26.16% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.76% ( -0.53) | 61.24% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.96% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |