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Premier League
Fulham logo
Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Craven Cottage
Aston Villa logo

Fulham
3 - 0
Aston Villa

Reed (36'), Mitrovic (68' pen.), Mings (83' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bailey (57'), Mings (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions
Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Premier League

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-2 Chelsea
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Fulham 2-1 Aston Villa

 While there is an element of pressure on both teams to win considering their recent dips in form, Gerrard and co will be aware that a defeat on Thursday could see them slip into the bottom three if other results were to go against them. Fulham have impressed on home soil so far this term and with Mitrovic back fit and firing, we can see the hosts coming away with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawAston Villa
37.59% (-0.135 -0.13) 25.72% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 36.69% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.19% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-0.199 -0.2)48.95% (0.201 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.18 -0.18)71.03% (0.181 0.18)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-0.167 -0.17)25.45% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (-0.229 -0.23)60.28% (0.229 0.23)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)25.96% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)60.97% (0.058 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 37.59%
    Aston Villa 36.69%
    Draw 25.72%
FulhamDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.59%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.91% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36.69%

How you voted: Fulham vs Aston Villa

Fulham
63.2%
Draw
18.3%
Aston Villa
18.6%
334
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2021 4.30pm
Aston Villa
3-1
Fulham
Trezeguet (78', 81'), Watkins (87')
Luiz (15')
Mitrovic (61')
Andersen (16'), Reid (74')
Sep 28, 2020 5.45pm
Fulham
0-3
Aston Villa

Reid (11'), Cairney (23'), Bryan (45+3'), Odoi (47'), Le Marchand (68'), Kamara (90+1')
Grealish (4'), Hourihane (15'), Mings (48')
Targett (11'), McGinn (59'), Mings (90+1')
> Match Report
Jan 4, 2020 3.01pm
Fulham
2-1
Aston Villa
Knockaert (54'), Arter (74')
McDonald (47'), Knockaert (88'), Hector (97')
El Ghazi (63')
Nakamba (6'), Taylor (21'), Lansbury (96')
> Match Report
May 26, 2018 5pm
Aston Villa
0-1
Fulham
> Match Report
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Fulham
2-0
Aston Villa
Sessegnon (52'), Ayite (71')
Johansen (67')

Jedinak (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916
> Premier League Full Table


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