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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Latvia national football team
Nations League | League D
Jun 3, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Andorra national football team

Latvia
3 - 0
Andorra

Uldrikis (9', 77'), Ikaunieks (85' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Latvia and Andorra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

Last Six:
Last Game: Latvia 1-0 Liechtenstein
Monday, June 6 at 5pm in Nations League
Next Game: Moldova vs. Latvia
Friday, June 10 at 5pm in Nations League

Andorra

Last Six:
Last Game: Andorra 0-0 Moldova
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Andorra vs. Liechtenstein
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Latvia 3-1 Andorra

 Last campaign's draw specialists come up against a side who have not featured in a stalemate for nine matches. We expect that run to continue as Latvia should be able to comfortably see off their underdog visitors, but they could certainly grab a goal with the belief they will have picked up from their two recent friendly victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Andorra win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.

Result
LatviaDrawAndorra
49.99% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 24.79% (0.0019999999999989 0) 25.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.72% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36% (-0.012 -0.01)49.64% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.34% (-0.012 -0.01)71.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12%19.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)51.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)34.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)70.9% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Latvia 49.98%
    Andorra 25.22%
    Draw 24.78%
LatviaDrawAndorra
1-0 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 49.98%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.29%
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 25.22%

How you voted: Latvia vs Andorra

Latvia
85.7%
Draw
11.9%
Andorra
2.4%
84
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
League D1
Andorra
0-5
Latvia

Garcia (9'), Fernandez (12'), Vieira (31'), Cervos (51'), Sanchez (84')
Garcia (90')
Cernomordijs (6'), Ikaunieks (57', 60'), Gutkovskis (70' pen.), Krollis (90' pen.)
Kamess (7'), Ikaunieks (9'), Zjuzins (15'), Ontuzans (81')
Sep 3, 2020 5pm
League D1
Latvia
0-0
Andorra

Gutkovskis (71')

Rebes (11'), Rubio (34'), Vales (52'), San Nicolas (71'), Pujol (74')
Nov 19, 2018 5pm
League D1
Andorra
0-0
Latvia

Cervos (2'), Alaez (40'), Garcia (51')

Ciganiks (9'), Uldrikis (89')
Sabala (38')
Sep 6, 2018 7.45pm
League D1
Latvia
0-0
Andorra

Jagodinskis (54'), Gutkovskis (90')

Martinez (20'), Vales (26'), Rubio (54'), Lima (73'), Alaez (77')
Oct 10, 2017 7.45pm
Group B
Latvia
4-0
Andorra
Ikaunieks (11', 63'), Sabala (19', 59')
Torres (68'), Uldrikis (80')

Garcia (55'), Lima (55')
rhs 2.0
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