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Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Atlanta United

Toronto
2 - 1
Atlanta

Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta United

Atlanta have developed a habit of tallying early, though they have struggled to maintain that intensity away from home for 90 minutes. For Toronto, they tend to react well and have shown more potency in the final third, so we expect if they suffer a setback, they will be able to recover. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
30% (-0.903 -0.9) 23.43% (-0.044 -0.04) 46.57% (0.94900000000001 0.95)
Both teams to score 61.13% (-0.376 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (-0.269 -0.27)40.29% (0.268 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33% (-0.278 -0.28)62.67% (0.279 0.28)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.699 -0.7)25.82% (0.702 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.959 -0.96)60.79% (0.961 0.96)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (0.267 0.27)17.59% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (0.466 0.47)48.16% (-0.465 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 30%
    Atlanta United 46.57%
    Draw 23.42%
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 6.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.202 0.2)
1-3 @ 5.38% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.151 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.08 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.58% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 46.57%

How you voted: Toronto vs Atlanta

Toronto
35.1%
Draw
35.1%
Atlanta United
29.7%
37
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
0-2
Atlanta

Achara (24'), Delgado (90+2')
Auro (83')
Araujo (45+2'), Moreno (90+7')
Rossetto (16'), Walkes (90+8')
Barco (84')
Aug 19, 2021 12am
Oct 19, 2020 12.30am
Sep 13, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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