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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2022 at 11pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chicago Fire

Atlanta
4 - 1
Chicago Fire

Cisneros (3', 27', 36'), Lennon (90+1')
Araujo (45+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Offor (11')
Navarro (30'), Offor (36'), Mueller (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Atlanta vs. Inter Miami
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-0 Chicago Fire

 Neither side are in good form at the moment, but we expect that home field will tip the scales in the favour of Atlanta. The Fire should be a tough team to break down defensively once again, however they invite a lot of pressure into their third of the field, and we expect the Five Stripes to eventually find a way to score and end their current winless skid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
67.16%19.04%13.8%
Both teams to score 51.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.72%41.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33%63.67%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.64%11.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.94%36.06%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.17%41.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.72%78.28%
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 67.15%
    Chicago Fire 13.8%
    Draw 19.04%
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 11.23%
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 8.15%
3-1 @ 7.11%
4-0 @ 4.43%
4-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.1%
5-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.68%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 67.15%
1-1 @ 9.01%
0-0 @ 4.75%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 19.04%
0-1 @ 4.14%
1-2 @ 3.93%
0-2 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.24%
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.8%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Chicago Fire

Atlanta United
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
3-0
Atlanta
Aliseda (34', 45+6'), Frankowski (58')
Bornstein (26'), Frankowski (31')

Bello (27'), Wolff (52'), Walkes (69')
Apr 25, 2021 1am
Atlanta
3-1
Chicago Fire
Barco (23'), Kappelhof (66' og.), Hyndman (85')
Mulraney (27'), Barco (70'), Hyndman (81')
Stojanovic (46')
Gimenez (90')
Sep 28, 2020 12.30am
Chicago Fire
2-0
Atlanta
Herbers (7'), Beric (39')

Mo (85')
Sep 19, 2020 8.30pm
Atlanta
P-P
Chicago Fire
Mar 21, 2020 7.30pm
Chicago Fire
P-P
Atlanta
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010
> Full Version


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