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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
May 29, 2022 at 12am UK
BMO Field
Chicago Fire

Toronto
3 - 2
Chicago Fire

Kerr (13'), Pozuelo (71' pen., 78')
Pozuelo (31'), Westberg (87'), Priso-Mbongue (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Teran (52'), Przybylko (66')
Przybylko (62'), Shaqiri (75'), Teran (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2- 1 Chicago Fire

 Mistakes have plagued both of these teams so far this season, but Toronto have shown a lot more fight than Chicago over their slump, while they seem to have more chemistry than the Fire, which we believe will be enough to earn them their first victory since April. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawChicago Fire
46.48% (-0.107 -0.11) 25% (0.0010000000000012 0) 28.52% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 54.73% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.73% (0.067 0.07)48.27% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.58% (0.061 0.06)70.42% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)20.81% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)53.47% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (0.11499999999999 0.11)30.88% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83% (0.136 0.14)67.17% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 46.47%
    Chicago Fire 28.52%
    Draw 25%
TorontoDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.47%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.52%

How you voted: Toronto vs Chicago Fire

Toronto
69.2%
Draw
19.2%
Chicago Fire
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
Toronto
3-1
Chicago Fire
Delgado (44'), Gonzalez (56'), Soteldo (70')
Soteldo (9'), Laryea (89')
Beric (16')
Offor (87')
Jul 25, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Toronto
Medran (77')
Pineda (70')
Soteldo (2'), DeLeon (76')
Singh (81')
Aug 2, 2020 1am
Chicago Fire
P-P
Toronto
Jun 18, 2020 1am
Toronto
P-P
Chicago Fire
Sep 29, 2019 10pm
Chicago Fire
2-2
Toronto
Katai (68'), Herbers (77')
Gaitan (85')
Altidore (59'), Gonzalez (80')
Delgado (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97
> Full Version


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