Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 67.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
67.98% ( -0.21) | 18.62% ( 0.11) | 13.4% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 51.92% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.76% ( -0.31) | 40.23% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.39% ( -0.32) | 62.6% ( 0.32) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.15% ( -0.14) | 10.85% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.05% ( -0.31) | 34.94% ( 0.31) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.24% ( -0.06) | 41.75% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.78% ( -0.05) | 78.22% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Toronto |
2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.15% Total : 67.98% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.62% | 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |