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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2023 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
New England Revolution

Nashville
3 - 2
New England

McCarty (19'), Surridge (30', 45+3')
Williams (42'), McCarty (59')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Chancalay (49', 71')
Polster (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-0 New England Revolution

The one thing Nashville have always known how to do well is defend, and for as poor as they have been in front of goal, the Boys in Gold have been airtight defensively at home. The Revs have failed to score in three of their five encounters with Nashville, scoring only once in two previous visits to the Music City, and we expect them to have a tough time getting through the home team's backline on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawNew England Revolution
54.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 22.36% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)44.32% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-0.012 -0.01)66.7% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.52% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)45.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)33.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.53% (-0.029 -0.03)70.47% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 54.75%
    New England Revolution 22.36%
    Draw 22.88%
Nashville SCDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1%
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 54.75%
1-1 @ 10.77%
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.88%
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 22.36%

How you voted: Nashville vs New England

Nashville SC
53.8%
Draw
23.1%
New England Revolution
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Aug 5, 2021 12am
May 8, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nashville
2-0
New England
Sapong (25'), Muyl (75')
Lovitz (28'), Godoy (90+3')

Jones (57')
Oct 24, 2020 1.30am
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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