Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
57.86% ( -0.22) | 21.62% ( 0.22) | 20.52% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.12% ( -0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.04% ( -1.04) | 40.95% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.65% ( -1.08) | 63.34% ( 1.07) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.08% ( -0.41) | 13.92% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.64% ( -0.81) | 41.36% ( 0.81) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.35% ( -0.61) | 33.64% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.7% ( -0.67) | 70.29% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 57.86% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 20.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |