Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
57.49% ( 0.13) | 21.61% ( -0.04) | 20.89% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 57.75% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.6% ( 0.04) | 40.4% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.22% ( 0.05) | 62.78% ( -0.05) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.15% ( 0.05) | 13.85% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.78% ( 0.11) | 41.22% ( -0.12) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.03% ( -0.07) | 32.97% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.45% ( -0.07) | 69.55% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 57.49% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 20.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |