Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Marseille |
41.18% ( 1.08) | 26.14% ( -0.25) | 32.68% ( -0.83) |
Both teams to score 53.12% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.69% ( 0.85) | 51.31% ( -0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.86% ( 0.74) | 73.14% ( -0.74) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.38% ( 0.95) | 24.62% ( -0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.87% ( 1.31) | 59.12% ( -1.32) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.46% ( -0.12) | 29.54% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.44% ( -0.14) | 65.56% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |