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Le Havre
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Lille
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Nice
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Reims
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Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nice

PSG
2 - 3
Nice

Mbappe (29', 87')
Barcola (83'), Skriniar (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moffi (21', 68'), Laborde (53')
Thuram (35'), Bard (63'), Moffi (70'), Bulka (71'), Lotomba (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 1-4 PSG
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Nice

With Mbappe not quite at 100% and several international players possibly being kept in reserve ahead of two blockbuster fixtures, Friday's showdown has the potential to be a particularly uncomfortable one for PSG. Nice are seldom blown away on rival territory, and the rapid Moffi should ask several questions of Les Parisiens' permeable backline, but we still have faith in the champions to record a third win on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Nice had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNice
51.67% (0.065000000000005 0.07) 23.4% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.93% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.93% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)43.93% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.68% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.31% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.81% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)47.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.63% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)31.37% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.26% (-0.113 -0.11)67.74% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 51.67%
    Nice 24.93%
    Draw 23.39%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNice
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.46% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 24.93%

How you voted: PSG vs Nice

Paris Saint-Germain
82.0%
Draw
13.3%
Nice
4.7%
150
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 30
Nice
0-2
PSG
Messi (26'), Ramos (76')
Oct 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
PSG
2-1
Nice
Messi (29'), Mbappe (83')
Laborde (47')
Mar 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Nice
1-0
PSG
Delort (88')
Lemina (33')
Jan 31, 2022 8.15pm
Round of 16
PSG
0-0
Nice
Nice win 6-5 on penalties
Pereira (24'), Kehrer (54'), Dagba (71')
Gouiri (29'), Boudaoui (60'), Schneiderlin (76'), Todibo (77'), Atal (79')
Dec 1, 2021 8.05pm
Gameweek 16
PSG
0-0
Nice
Pereira (31'), di Maria (76')
Kluivert (66'), Bard (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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