Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Toulouse |
52.16% ( -1.01) | 23.12% ( -0.01) | 24.72% ( 1.02) |
Both teams to score 57.64% ( 1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.1% ( 1.04) | 42.89% ( -1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.7% ( 1.02) | 65.3% ( -1.02) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.52% ( 0.02) | 16.48% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.8% ( 0.03) | 46.2% ( -0.03) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.01% ( 1.41) | 30.99% ( -1.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.71% ( 1.62) | 67.29% ( -1.62) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.16% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.85% Total : 24.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |