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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Nice

Metz
0 - 1
Nice

FT(HT: 0-1)
Boudaoui (14')
Thuram (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 3-0 Metz
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Brest
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 0-2 Nice

Nice, who beat Metz 2-0 in their last visit to the Stade Saint-Symphorien in January 2022, will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top this weekend considering the contrasting form of the two teams. The hosts may struggle to breach the best defence in Ligue 1, and although the visitors drew a blank in front of goal last time out, they should have few problems finding the net en route to a routine victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result
MetzDrawNice
33.56% (-0.302 -0.3) 26.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 40.07% (0.329 0.33)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.94% (0.059000000000005 0.06)52.06% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.21% (0.050000000000001 0.05)73.79% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)29.34% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (-0.203 -0.2)65.31% (0.199 0.2)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (0.202 0.2)25.54% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (0.278 0.28)60.39% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Metz 33.56%
    Nice 40.06%
    Draw 26.37%
MetzDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.56%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 10.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.98% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.06%

How you voted: Metz vs Nice

Metz
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Nice
71.4%
28
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 22
Metz
0-2
Nice

Kana-Biyik (45+1'), Salif Mbengue (55'), Ndiaga Yade (57')
Thuram (58'), Gouiri (86' pen.)
Rosario (64')
Nov 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
Nice
0-1
Metz

Delort (21'), Stengs (39')
Centonze (31')
N'Doram (4'), Jemerson (16')
Feb 21, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 26
Nice
1-2
Metz
Gouiri (61' pen.)
Sellouki (90+1')
Kouyate (15'), Gueye (38')
Jan 9, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Metz
1-1
Nice
Boye (79')
Kouyate (17'), Maziz (36')
Gouiri (18' pen.)
Nsoki (67'), Boudaoui (76')
May 9, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 36
Metz
P-P
Nice
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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