Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Troyes |
30.04% | 26.52% | 43.44% |
Both teams to score 50.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.27% | 53.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.78% | 75.22% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.41% | 32.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.87% | 69.13% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.45% | 24.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.96% | 59.04% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.04% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 7.89% 1-3 @ 4.14% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |