Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Metz |
42.62% | 27.25% | 30.14% |
Both teams to score 48.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.52% | 56.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.53% | 77.48% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.79% | 26.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.69% | 61.31% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.04% | 33.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.37% | 70.64% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.61% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.34% Total : 30.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |