Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
27.13% | 22.67% | 50.19% |
Both teams to score 61.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.32% | 38.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.02% | 60.98% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% | 26.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.74% | 62.26% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.36% | 15.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.34% | 44.66% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 6.73% 1-0 @ 5.53% 2-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 1.59% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.13% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.21% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 9.51% 0-1 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 5.88% 0-3 @ 4.48% 2-3 @ 3.86% 1-4 @ 2.73% 0-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.79% 1-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |