Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lyon |
32.7% | 23.08% | 44.22% |
Both teams to score 63.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.67% | 37.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.46% | 59.55% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.24% | 22.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.55% | 56.45% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.66% | 17.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.27% | 47.74% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 5.84% 2-0 @ 4.33% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.7% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 6.64% 0-0 @ 3.95% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 5.24% 2-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 2.29% 2-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.1% Total : 44.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |